初级商品市场外刊经贸知识选读,每课重要知识点,串讲,课文翻译_百度文库
两大类热门资源免费畅读
续费一年阅读会员，立省24元！
评价文档：
7页免费6页免费10页免费9页免费10页免费 7页免费5页免费5页免费4页免费22页免费
喜欢此文档的还喜欢6页免费10页免费7页免费9页免费12页免费
初级商品市场外刊经贸知识选读,每课重要知识点,串讲,课文翻译|外​刊​经​贸​知​识​选​读​,​每​课​重​要​知​识​点​,​串​讲​,​课​文​翻​译
把文档贴到Blog、BBS或个人站等：
普通尺寸(450*500pix)
较大尺寸(630*500pix)
你可能喜欢WORLD TRADE DECELERATES ALMOST TO STANDSTILL, SAYS STUDY -
- FT中文网
WORLD TRADE DECELERATES ALMOST TO STANDSTILL, SAYS STUDY
Global trade slowed almost to a standstill over the new year, threatening to shrink for the first time since the US economy went into recession in 2001.
An indicator produced by the Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, a Dutch research institute, showed that in the three months to January world trade in goods rose at annualised rate of 0.2 per cent over the previous three months.
The equivalent growth rate in the three months to October was 6.9 per cent.
“This is a substantial deceleration”, the institute said. “World trade volume growth is on a downward trend.”
Trade figures tend to be volatile but even on a longer-term smoothed basis, comparing the three-month average with the same period a year earlier, the growth in goods trade is at its lowest since 2003.
The data appear to provide further evidence that global economic activity is slowing, as growth in emerging markets has failed to compensate for weaker demand in the US.
The last time annual growth in trade went negative was in 2001, when the shallow US recession that followed the bursting of the technology bubble and the shock of the September 11 attacks caused global commerce to contract.
Trade growth is consistently higher on average than overall economic growth but it also tends to be more variable, dropping sharply during recessions.
Julian Jessop, chief international economist at the consultancy Capital Economics, said there were one-off factors that might explain the weakness in world trade in recent months, including disruptions to shipping and damage to Chinese trade caused by the winter storms.
However, he added: “Global trade growth tends to do twice whatever global GDP [gross domestic product] is doing, so with the world economy slowing it doesn't surprise me at all that there is a slowdown in trade.”
The indicator – which
is monitored by economists at the International
Monetary Fund and other official bodies – is compiled from official data that is published by both industrialised and emerging market countries.
It covers more than 97 per cent of trade in goods, which itself constitutes more than 80 per cent of total world trade.
The institute said that imports into both the US and European Union fell in the three months to January.
Year-on-year trade growth hit a record high of 9.7 per cent in November 2006, at a time when the US and Chinese economies were both growing briskly.
将评论同步到微博
小提示:设置一个头像，将会使您发表的评论更容易受到大家关注。
未经英国《金融时报》书面许可，对于英国《金融时报》拥有版权和/或其他知识产权的任何内容，任何人不得复制、转载、摘编或在非FT中文网（或：英国《金融时报》中文网）所属的服务器上做镜像或以其他任何方式进行使用。已经英国《金融时报》授权使用作品的，应在授权范围内使用。CHINA SECURITIES JOURNAL |
WTO cuts 2013 global trade growth forecast to 3.3 pct
BY　　|　FROM　Xinhua　|　 11:03
GENEVA, April 10 (Xinhua) -- The World Trade Organisation (WTO) on Wednesday cut its forecast for global trade growth in 2013 to 3.3 percent, from the previous prediction of 4.5 percent.
The predicted growth is higher than the rate of 2 percent in 2012 but is below the 20-year average of 5.3 percent and well below the pre-crisis trend of 6 percent (), the WTO said in a report, given the economic slowdown in Europe which continues to suppress global import demand.
Exports of developed economies would increase by 1.4 percent in 2013, and developing countries would see a 5.3-percent growth, according to the report, while on the import side, developed economies are estimated to see a 1.4-percent growth and developing economies 5.9 percent.
The 2013 global trade forecast was based on an assumed 2.1-percent growth in world gross domestic production (GDP) at market exchange rates, basically unchanged from 2012, with developed economies growing 1.1 percent and the rest of the world growing 5 percent, said the trade organization.
Economists figured out that significant downside risks remain centered on the euro crisis and the pace of fiscal contraction in developed countries.
The report predicted that China should continue to grow faster than the rest of the world in 2013, albeit at a slower pace than in the recent past, which should provide support for imports from other countries.
World trade growth fell to 2 percent in 2012, down from 5.2 percent in 2011, the report said. Economists said the abrupt deceleration was caused by slow growth in developed economies and recurring bouts of uncertainty over the future of euro.
"The event of 2012 should serve as a reminder that the structural flaws in economies that were revealed by the economic crisis have not been fully addressed, despite important progress in some areas. Repairing these fissures needs to be the priority for 2013," said WTO Director General Pascal Lamy.
Due to falling prices for traded goods, especially commodities such as iron core and coal, the value of world merchandise exports in 2012 increased only 0.2 percent to 18.3 trillion U.S. dollars, nearly the same with 2011. The world commercial services exports in 2012 were at 4.3 trillion U.S. dollars, only 2 percent higher than in 2011, according to the report.
The report stated that in 2012, exports of developed countries grew by 1 percent and exports of developing countries grew by 3.3 imports of developed countries dropped 0.1 percent last year, while those of developing economies grew by 4.6 percent.
Among those countries, China saw a 6.2-percent growth in its exports and 3.6-percent increase in its imports in 2012, according to the report.
Statistics showed that the 2.1-percent world GDP growth at market exchange rates in 2012, compared with 2.4 percent in 2011, was below the 3.2-percent average over the last 20 years preceding the financial crisis and also below the 2.8-percent average of the last two decades including the crisis period.
In 2012, the output of developed economies as a whole rose by 1.2 percent, and developing countries and Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) collectively by 4.7 percent.
"As long as global economic weakness persists, protectionist pressure will build and could eventually become overwhelming," said Lamy.
"To prevent a self-destructive lapse into economic nationalism, countries need to refocus their attention on reinforcing the multilateral trading system. Trade can once again be an engine of growth and a source of strength for the global economy rather than a barometer of instability," said Lamy.
The report also forecasted the world trade volume growth in 2014 is expected to improve to 5 percent, based on strong assumptions about the medium-term trajectory of GDP, with exports of developed and developing countries should increase respectively by 2.6 percent and 7.5 percent, and imports increase by 3.2 percent and 7.4 percent.
The report also assumed 2014 world output growth to be 2.7 percent, with developed countries advancing 1.9 percent and the rest of the world growing 5.1 percent.
Related News
The Senate will cast its first vote this week on President Barack Obama's proposals to curb gun violence, which face a rough ride in Congress due to opposition from Republicans and gun rights activists
Among all the woes of modern air travel--cramped seating, extra charges for baggage, outrageous prices for airport food -- perhaps nothing frays the nerves of passengers faster than air turbulence
The Pentagon budget proposed by President Obama on Wednesday will assume that the automatic spending cuts that started March 1 will end and will contain no long-term reductions in troop levels beyond those already in ...
|&&&&&&|&&&&&&|&&&&&&|
Copyright 2012 China Securities Journal. All Rights Reserved}